ARR-TC-2026-029·Technical Commentary·2026-06-04

Joint SPX/VIX Calibration as Linear Optimization over Signature Coefficients

· signature· joint calibration· VIX· convex optimization
§ Reviewed Work
Joint calibration to SPX and VIX options with signature-based models
C. Cuchiero, G. Gazzani, J. Möller, S. Svaluto-Ferro
arXiv:2301.13235 · Mathematical Finance (2025)
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§01

Abstract

The paper builds signature-based market models in which the SPX dynamics are polynomial in the signature of a primary process, and shows that the notoriously hard joint SPX/VIX smile calibration can be cast as optimization over signature coefficients, with the VIX computed in closed form as a signature functional. We read it as a constructive route to the joint-calibration 'holy grail' that stays linear-algebraic rather than relying on a bespoke SDE.

§02

Notation / Conceptual Frame

S_t is expressed via ⟨ℓ, 𝕊(X)_{0,t}⟩, with VIX² obtained as a conditional signature functional; calibration minimizes smile error over the linear coefficients ℓ subject to martingale constraints.

§03

Commentary

The appeal is that expressivity comes from the signature basis while the calibration objective stays tractable. It reframes joint calibration from 'find the right model' to 'find the right linear functional on a universal basis'.

§04

Implications for Research Methodology

Offers the desk a single, auditable representation in which SPX and VIX information are calibrated jointly rather than reconciled after the fact — relevant whenever a memo touches index volatility and its volatility-of-volatility.

§05

Limitations

Signature truncation and the dimensionality of the coefficient vector govern both expressivity and overfit risk; out-of-sample stability of the calibrated functional is the open question.

§ Related Notes
This note is informational and interpretive. It does not constitute personalized investment advice. Market activity involves risk. Historical analysis and model outputs do not guarantee future results.